| 小城镇人口规模的灰色预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑金土.小城镇人口规模的灰色预测[J].浙江大学学报(农业与生命科学版),1992(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑金土 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江农业大学农业工程系 杭州 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在分析现有人口预测模型的基础上,提出了城镇人口预测的灰色GM(1,1)模型,并对浙江省湖州市南浔镇近几年的人口进行了预测,结果表明灰色预测法具有较高的预测精度,为小城镇人口预测开辟了一条新途径.
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| 关 键 词： | 小城镇 人口 灰色系统 预测 |
Grey forecasting method of population of little city and town. |
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| Zhen Jintu.Grey forecasting method of population of little city and town.[J].Journal of Zhejiang University(Agriculture & Life Sciences),1992(1). |
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| Authors: | Zhen Jintu |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of population forecasting models in common use, a grey forecasting method GM( 1, 1 ) model was introduced to forecast the population of little city and town. As an example, the population of Nanxun town, Huzhou, Zhejiang province from 1984 to 1990 was forecasted. The result was satisfactory. The grey forecasting model provided a new method for the population forecasting of little city and town. |
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| Keywords: | little city and town population grey system forecasting |
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