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农村能源综合建设效益评价及灰色系统方法应用
引用本文:王革华,陈彦宾,施德铭.农村能源综合建设效益评价及灰色系统方法应用[J].农业工程学报,1992,8(3):60-66.
作者姓名:王革华  陈彦宾  施德铭
作者单位:中国农业工程研究设计院;中国农业工程研究设计院;中国农业工程研究设计院
摘    要:本文对农村能源综合建设亟需解决的效益评价问题进行了研究,并着重探讨了后效益评价方法。提出了用综合指数评价综合建设效益,同时把农村能源综合建设效益分为当前效益和未来效益,从而引出了效益现评价和预评价概念,并用灰色系统预测方法对广东某县农村能源综合建设建立了效益预评价模型,证明方法合理、可行。

关 键 词:农村能源  效益评价  灰色系统
收稿时间:1991/1/15 0:00:00

The Effect Assessment of Integrated Rural Energy Development and the Application of Grey System Method
Wang Gehu,Chen Yanbin and Shi Deming.The Effect Assessment of Integrated Rural Energy Development and the Application of Grey System Method[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,1992,8(3):60-66.
Authors:Wang Gehu  Chen Yanbin and Shi Deming
Institution:Chinese Academy of Agricultural Engineering Research and Planning
Abstract:This paper studies the effect assessment method that need to be solved urgently in integrated rural energy development, and emphesizes to research the future effect assessment approach. The paper presents that the effect of integrated development is assessed by the integrated index, at the same time, the effect is divided into the present effect and future effect, thereby, the concepts of the present effect and future effect assessment are put forward. Finally, the forecasting method of Grey System applied to establish a future effect assessment model, and it is used to the effect assessment of the integrated rural energy development in a sample county in Guangdong Province.
Keywords:Rural energy  Effect assessment  Grey System
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