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全国多环芳烃排放的时空变异特征
引用本文:许姗姗,许明珠,刘文新,陶澍.全国多环芳烃排放的时空变异特征[J].农业环境科学学报,2006,25(4):1084-1088.
作者姓名:许姗姗  许明珠  刘文新  陶澍
作者单位:北京大学环境学院,地表过程分析与模拟教育部重点实验室,北京,100871
基金项目:国家研究发展基金;国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)
摘    要:根据排放因子和相关排放活动的统计资料,分析了全国PAHs排放的空间分布和时间变异特征,并预测未来16年间全国PAHs的年排放量。结果表明,1999年全国单位GDP排放量和人均年排放量的总体趋势均表现为从西北部和北部向东南沿海逐渐减少;而单位面积年排放量则在中部和东部较高,西部与东南沿海较低。不同排放源的贡献比例存在显著的地区差异。全国PAHs年排放量在1980—1988年持续上升,1988—1996年则相对稳定在1.0~1.1万t,1996年以后因排放因子较高的非工业燃煤用量大幅减少而连续下降至1980年水平。考虑未来经济和能源结构调整以及国家政策的变化,至2020年全国PAHs年排放量预计将达到1.3~1.7万t。

关 键 词:多环芳烃  空间分布  时间变异  排放预测
文章编号:1672-2043(2006)04-1084-05
收稿时间:2005-10-28
修稿时间:2005年10月28

Spatial and Temporal Variations of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Emission in China
XU Shan-shan,XU Ming-zhu,LIU Wen-xin,TAO Shu.Spatial and Temporal Variations of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Emission in China[J].Journal of Agro-Environment Science( J. Agro-Environ. Sci.),2006,25(4):1084-1088.
Authors:XU Shan-shan  XU Ming-zhu  LIU Wen-xin  TAO Shu
Institution:MOE Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes, College of Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Abstract:Based on emission factors and corresponding statistics of emission activities,the temporal and spatial variations of PAHs emission in China were analyzed,and Chinese annual PAHs emission in the future 16 years was estimated.The results showed that in 1999,both per capita emission and per GDP emission decreased from northwest and north to south of China,while per square kilometer emission reached relatively high levels in central section and east of China.In addition,the contributions of various sources to total PAHs emission also exhibited significant regional differences.During 1980 to 1988,annual PAHs emission in China kept increasing rapidly,and then remained relatively stable between 10 000 t and 11 000 t until 1996;afterwards it diminished continuously to the level of 1980,mainly due to a substantial reduction in non-industrial coal combustion with high PAHs emission factor.With consideration of possible changes in economic and energy structures,as well as in governmental policies,the prediction of China annual PAHs emission in 2020 will be around 13 000 t to 17 000 t.
Keywords:PAHs  spatial distribution  temporal variation  emission prediction
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