| 现代农用天气预报业务及其有关问题的探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 马树庆.现代农用天气预报业务及其有关问题的探讨[J].中国农业气象,2012,33(2):278-282,288. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马树庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 吉林省气象台,长春,130062 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家行业专项“农用天气预报关键技术研究”（GYHY200906021） |
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| 摘 要： | 为了更好地开展现代农业气象业务,提升气象为农服务能力,文章从涵盖农林牧副渔的大农业生产需求出发,阐述了现代农用天气预报的定义、原理、业务内容、技术方法与工作流程,并就其业务范围、预报时效、区域业务重点等展开讨论.文章指出,现代农用天气预报业务基于农业生产与天气的相关性、农事的可选择性和天气预报能力的不断提高,其主要特征发生了较大变化,一是强调天气预报、农业气象指标和农业气象评价技术的结合,而不仅仅是对农用天气的预报；二是业务涉及面广泛,除了为粮棉油生产服务的传统农用天气预报外,还包括林用、牧用、渔用、设施农业天气预报等；三是预报能力明显提高,对出现的时间、地点和数量预报已逐步实现精细化；四是主要业务在现代信息技术和业务系统上运行,定量化和客观化水平更高.文章认为,农用天气预报业务应明确业务范围,突出区域特点和工作重点,并注重业务产品的时效性和实用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 现代农用天气预报 定义与原理 业务内容 制作方法 |
Overview on Modern Agricultural Weather Forecast Service and Relative Issues |
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| MA Shu-qing.Overview on Modern Agricultural Weather Forecast Service and Relative Issues[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2012,33(2):278-282,288. |
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| Authors: | MA Shu-qing |
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| Institution: | MA Shu-qing (Jilin Meteorological Observatory, Changchun 130062, China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to develop modern agricultural weather service and enhance the ability of meteorological services for farmers, the paper expounded the definition, principles, business content, technology method and work process of modem agricultural weather forecast, and discussed relative issues, such as the vocational work limits, timeliness of forecasts, key regional business, based on the demand of the general agriculture, which covering agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, sideline and fishery. The paper pointed out modem agricultural weather forecast service based on the relevance of agricultural production and the weather, optional principle of farming activities, and improvement of weather forecasting capacity, and the character of the service was changed as follows. Firstly, integration of weather forecasting was emphasized, which included agro-meteorologieal indicators and evaluation techniques rather than agro- meteorological forecasting only. Secondly, serving was extended to for forestry, animal husbandry, fisheries and agricul- tural facilities apart from for crops. Thirdly, higher capacity for weather forecasting, including occurring time, place and number. Fourth, quantitative and objective was improved because of support of modem information technology and busi- ness systems. The paper suggested that the agricultural weather service should definite the work limits, focus on regional characteristics and focal point of the work, and pay more attention to the timeliness and usefulness of business products. |
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| Keywords: | Modern agricultural weather forecast Definition and principles Business content Work method |
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