| 福建省晚稻稻飞虱气象等级的监测预警 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨 凯,陈 惠,陈彬彬.福建省晚稻稻飞虱气象等级的监测预警[J].中国农学通报,2009,25(20):245-248. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨 凯 陈 惠 陈彬彬 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建省气象科学研究所,福州,350001 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局多轨道业务项目"中国农业气象灾害监测与预警系统研究"资助;福建省气象局青年科技专项项目"福建省早稻稻飞虱长期预报技术研究"资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 稻飞虱是影响福建水稻生产的主要害虫，其发生发展与气象条件关系密切。本文基于统计学方法对福建省21个县晚稻稻飞虱发生等级与温湿、降水和日照条件等进行了统计分析，找出关键性因子，并建立了晚稻稻飞虱气象等级的经验统计模型。通过历史回代检验，各地区晚稻稻飞虱气象等级与实际发生的等级相比，各地区“一致”和“基本一致”的可达到50%～96%，总体预报效果较好，可投入业务应用。
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| 关 键 词： | 湿地 湿地 生态环境特征 可持续发展 保护对策 绍兴镜湖 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-05-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 2009-07-21 |
Monitoring and Warning of Meteorological Grade for Late Rice Plant Hopper in Fujian Province |
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| Yang Kai,Chen Hui,Chen Binbin.Monitoring and Warning of Meteorological Grade for Late Rice Plant Hopper in Fujian Province[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2009,25(20):245-248. |
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| Authors: | Yang Kai Chen Hui Chen Binbin |
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| Institution: | (Institute of Meteorological Science of Fujian Province, Fuzhou 350001) |
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| Abstract: | Rice Plant Hopper is one of the main pests in the rice production in Fujian Province and its occurrence is closely correlated to the meteorological conditions．Based on statistical methods, the relation between the occurrence levels of late rice plant hopper and meteorological factors in twenty-one counties was analyzed. The factors included temperature, humidity, precipitation and sunshine hours. The experiential statistical model for the meteorological grade was established based on the key meteorological factors. The validation results by the historical test showed that the forecast accuracy can be reached from 50% to 96% by comparing meteorological grade with actual grade in each region. The forecast effect was good and the model could be put into operational application. |
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| Keywords: | Rice Plant Hopperzz Meteorological gradezz Meteorological conditionzz Fujian Provincezz Monitoringzz |
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