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| 湖南生猪市场价格风险评价的实证分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 易泽忠,刘学文,石畅,高阳,郭时印.湖南生猪市场价格风险评价的实证分析[J].湖南农业科学,2012(9):127-131. |
| 作者姓名： | 易泽忠 刘学文 石畅 高阳 郭时印 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中南大学商学院,湖南 长沙,410083 2. 湖南省农业科学院人事处,湖南 长沙,410125 3. 湖南农业大学食品科技学院,湖南 长沙,410128 |
| 摘 要： | 选择生猪供求比率、生猪价格波动率、猪粮价格比、仔猪与白条肉价格比、合同违约率、政策的满意度等指标评价生猪市场风险,建立数学模型,计算生猪市场风险总指数,并利用2 000～2 010年的有关数据,对湖南生猪市场风险进行了实证分析,探讨评价生猪市场风险的科学方法,为生猪市场风险的有效管理提供科学的量化依据。 |
| 关 键 词： | 生猪 市场价格风险 实证分析 湖南 |
Empirical Analysis of Market Price Risks for Live Pigs in Hunan Province |
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| YI Ze-zhong , LIU Xue-wen , SHI Chang , GAO Yang , GUO Shi-yin.Empirical Analysis of Market Price Risks for Live Pigs in Hunan Province[J].Hunan Agricultural Sciences,2012(9):127-131. | |
| Authors: | YI Ze-zhong LIU Xue-wen SHI Chang GAO Yang GUO Shi-yin |
| Institution: | 1.Business School,Central South University,Changsha 410083,PRC; 2.Personnel Division,Hunan Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Changsha 410128,PRC; 3.College of Food Science and Technology,HNAU,Changsha 410128,PRC) |
| Abstract: | The ratio of supply to demand,market price fluctuation rate,ratio of pig price to food price,ratio of pig price to carcass meat price,contract breaking rate and policy’s satisfaction were chosen as indexes to evaluate the market price risks for live pigs in China,and then a mathematic model was established to calculate total index of market risks for live pigs.Meanwhile,the related data from 2000 to 2010 were used to conduct empirical analysis on the price risks of live pig market in Hunan Province in order to explore a scientific method for evaluating market price risk of the live pigs and provide scientific and quantitative basis for effective management of market risk of live pigs. |
| Keywords: | live pig market price risk empirical analysis Hunan Province |
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