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双向差分灰色模型在路面性能预测中的应用
引用本文:唐建国,王大明,祝争艳,罗光华,李英涛.双向差分灰色模型在路面性能预测中的应用[J].森林工程,2009,25(1):59-61.
作者姓名:唐建国  王大明  祝争艳  罗光华  李英涛
作者单位:1. 南京林业大学,南京,210037
2. 南京东部路桥工程总公司,南京,210042
3. 江苏省交通科学研究院,南京,210017
摘    要:利用双向差分灰色模型,建立高速公路沥青路面使用性能灰色预测模型,并分析模型的预测精度。结合该模型对某高速公路使用性能的指标进行预测,根据预测结果与路面实际检测数据的对比,分析模型预测结果的合理性和该指标的发展,讨论双向差分灰色模型在路面使用性能预测中的适用性。

关 键 词:双向差分  灰色系统  路面使用性能  预测

Application of Bi-directional Differential Gray Model in Pavement Performance Prediction
Tang Jiangguo,Wang Daming,Zhu Zhengyan,Luo Guanghua,Li Yingtan.Application of Bi-directional Differential Gray Model in Pavement Performance Prediction[J].Forest Engineering,2009,25(1):59-61.
Authors:Tang Jiangguo  Wang Daming  Zhu Zhengyan  Luo Guanghua  Li Yingtan
Institution:Tang Jiangguo, Wang Darning , Zhu Zhengyan, Luo Guanghua, Li Yingtao (1.Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037;2.Nanjing Eastern Road and Bridge Construction Engineering Corporation;3.Jiangsu Transportation Research Institute, Nanjing 210017)
Abstract:By bi-directional differential gray model, highway asphalt pavement perfomance gray prediction model was established and its prediction accuracy was analyzed. Combining the model, some highway performance indicators were predicted. According to comparison of the prediction results and the actual road test data, rationality of prediction results and the development of this indicator were analyzed, and applicability of bi-directional differential gray model in pavement performance prediction was discussed.
Keywords:bi-directional differential  grey system  pavement performance  prediction
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