| 地下水位拟合及预报的序列相关模型——以新疆克拉玛依百口泉水源地为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 董新光,魏星,樊丽淑,陈亮,孙艳,王秀芬.地下水位拟合及预报的序列相关模型——以新疆克拉玛依百口泉水源地为例[J].新疆农业大学学报,1998(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 董新光 魏星 樊丽淑 陈亮 孙艳 王秀芬 |
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| 作者单位： | 水利与土木工程学院，新疆石油管理局 |
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| 摘 要： | 本研究汲取了时序分析和多元回归分析各自的优点，提出了地下水位拟合及预报的时序回归模型，模型既体现了地下水位与相关因子的相关关系，又反映了地下水位自身的时序关系。可广泛应用于地下水动态预测预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 地下水动态 分布滞后 序列相关 ARMA（p.q）模型 |
Time Series Regression Model of Water Table Fitting and Forecasting For Bakouquan Water Resource Planning of Karamay in Xinjiang |
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| Dong Xinguang,Wei Xin,Fan Lishu et al.Time Series Regression Model of Water Table Fitting and Forecasting For Bakouquan Water Resource Planning of Karamay in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Xinjiang Agricultural University,1998(3). |
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| Authors: | Dong Xinguang Wei Xin Fan Lishu |
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| Institution: | College of Water Conservancy |
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| Abstract: | On the base of adopting the value of time series and multiple regression analysis, the author puts foward the model of time series regression,using in the fitting and forecasting of water table. The model embodys both the relation of water table and correlation factor and the time series relation of water table itself, so can be applied in dynamic predication of groundwater widely |
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| Keywords: | groundwater dynamil seate time series regression multiple regression ARMA( p q ) model |
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