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| 文山松毛虫危害程度与发生范围预测预报研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 柴守权,许国莲,邵登坤,李任波,卢南.文山松毛虫危害程度与发生范围预测预报研究[J].西南林学院学报,2003,23(1):59-61,78. |
| 作者姓名： | 柴守权 许国莲 邵登坤 李任波 卢南 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 国家林业局,森林病虫害防治总站,辽宁,沈阳,110034 2. 西南林学院,保护生物学学院,云南,昆明,650224 3. 宣威市林业局,云南,宣威,655400 4. 云南省森林病虫防治检疫总站,云南,昆明,650051 |
| 基金项目： | 云南省应用基础研究重点基金项目 ( 98C0 0 7Z) |
| 摘 要： | 编制了文山松毛虫预测预报虫灾级数表，提出了文山松毛虫危害程度初步测报式，利用马尔可夫链模型分析法进行了文山松毛虫发生面积的预测预报，准确性较高。 |
| 关 键 词： | 文山松毛虫 危害程度 发生范围 预测预报 马尔可夫链模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-7179(2003)01-0059-03 |
A Preliminary Study on the Forecast of Harm Extent and Occurrence Area of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis |
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| CHAI Shou-quan ,XU Guo-lian ,SHAO Den-kun ,XIE Kai-li ,LU Nan.A Preliminary Study on the Forecast of Harm Extent and Occurrence Area of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis[J].Journal of Southwest Forestry College,2003,23(1):59-61,78. | |
| Authors: | CHAI Shou-quan XU Guo-lian SHAO Den-kun XIE Kai-li LU Nan |
| Institution: | CHAI Shou-quan 1,XU Guo-lian 2,SHAO Den-kun 3,XIE Kai-li 2,LU Nan 4 |
| Abstract: | The preliminary forcast formula of harm extent was developed on the basis of insect plague progression table of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis ,and the forecast of occurrence area was also obtained by Markov chain method with high accuracy. |
| Keywords: | Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis harm extent occurrence area forecast |
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