| 洪涝灾害发生年份预测模型研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 南都国,吴溪涌.洪涝灾害发生年份预测模型研究[J].黑龙江八一农垦大学学报,1996(1). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 南都国 吴溪涌 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 黑龙江八一农垦大学 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文把灰色系统ＧＭ（１，１）预测模型与马尔柯夫链预测方法结合起来对洪涝灾害发生年份的预测模型进行了研究．并获得了令人满意的结果。这对洪涝灾害发生年份的预测提供了一种新的研究手段。
|
| 关 键 词： | 洪涝灾害，灰色系统GM（1．1），预测模型，马尔柯夫链预测 |
STUDIES ON FLOOD YEAR FORECAST MODEL |
| |
| Nan Duguo, Wu Xiyong.STUDIES ON FLOOD YEAR FORECAST MODEL[J].Journal of Heilongjiang August First Land Reclamation University,1996(1). |
| |
| Authors: | Nan Duguo Wu Xiyong |
| |
| Institution: | Nan Duguo; Wu Xiyong |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the meteorological data of 853 farm.a new flood year forecast model which combines Grey System Gm(1,1) Forecast Model with Markov Chaim Forecast Thought has been put forward in this research. It shows high accuracy in the flood year forecast. |
| |
| Keywords: | Flood Grey System GM(1 1) Forecast Model Markov Chaim Forecast Thought |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
