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大豆花叶病毒(SMV)流行预测式的建立
引用本文:郭井泉,刘学敏,刘洪义,张明厚,姜永业,李连贵,孙伯铮.大豆花叶病毒(SMV)流行预测式的建立[J].东北农业大学学报,1990(3).
作者姓名:郭井泉  刘学敏  刘洪义  张明厚  姜永业  李连贵  孙伯铮
作者单位:东北农学院植物病理教研室,东北农学院植物病理教研室,东北农学院植物病理教研室,东北农学院植物病理教研室,铁岭市农业科学研究所,铁岭市农业科学研究所,铁岭市农业科学研究所
摘    要:1986~1989年在黑龙江省哈尔滨、辽宁省铁岭多点设置不同种子传毒率水平的试验区,调查测定SMV流行和有翅蚜发生、飞翔动态,共积累19组数据。采用Apple-Ⅱ计算机BASIC语言进行回归分析,分别推导出符合度较高的SMV流行中,长期预测式。预测式可在东北地区试用,若结合种子传毒率预测和产量损失估计使用,将显著提高SMV“综合治理”水平。

关 键 词:SMV  流行  模型预测

PRODICTING EQUATIONS FOR THE EPIDEMICS OF SOYBEAN MOSAIC VIRUS
Guo Jingquan,Liu Xuemin,Liu Hongyi,Zhang Minghou,Jiang Yongye,Li Liangui,Sun Bozheng Section of Plant Pathology,Northeast Agricultural College Agricultural Science Institute of Tieling.PRODICTING EQUATIONS FOR THE EPIDEMICS OF SOYBEAN MOSAIC VIRUS[J].Journal of Northeast Agricultural University,1990(3).
Authors:Guo Jingquan  Liu Xuemin  Liu Hongyi  Zhang Minghou  Jiang Yongye  Li Liangui  Sun Bozheng Section of Plant Pathology  Northeast Agricultural College Agricultural Science Institute of Tieling
Abstract: A series of Epidemiological experiment plots which have different seed-born rates ofsoybean mosaic virus were established in Harbin of Heilongjiang province and Teiling ofLiaoning province during 1986~1989, 19 sets of systematic data which reflected the rela-tionships between SMV epidemics and occurrence, flight of alate aphids were accumulated.Apple-II computer was used for regression analysis and calculation with BASIC language,the prodicting equations of long-period and mid-period were derived with 2-factors. If theseregression equations for prodicting the disease incidences of SMV were used together with themodels on seed transmission rate and yield loss estimate, it would benefitial to make deci-sion in SMV management.
Keywords:SMV  Epidemics  Predicting equations
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