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中国公共预算约束软化的体制成因:理论分析与实证检验
引用本文:龚旻,甘家武,张帆.中国公共预算约束软化的体制成因:理论分析与实证检验[J].湖南农业大学学报(自然科学版),2017(1):122-127.
作者姓名:龚旻  甘家武  张帆
作者单位:(1.湖南商学院 财政金融学院,湖南 长沙410215;2.云南财经大学 国际工商学院,云南 昆明650221;3.浙江财经大学 财政税务学院,浙江 杭州310018)
摘    要:科学和民主的预算管理制度建立前,税制和分税制对政府预算约束有重要作用。中国税制和分税制缺乏内生约束机制,地方政府有空间和激励突破预算框架参与过度财政竞争,使公共预算约束软化。根据公共预算软约束的估计和面板probit模型,1994年的税制和分税制改革整体硬化了全国预算收入约束,但导致东部的预算收入约束软化,且未改善预算支出约束。现行税制和分税制下,不规范的税收优惠政策、投资扩张冲动和专项转移支出依赖是导致公共预算约束软化的重要机制。

关 键 词:公共预算约束  税制  分税制  过度财政竞争

Institutional Cause of Soft Constraint on Public Budget in China:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test
GONG Min,GAN Jiawu,ZHANG Fan.Institutional Cause of Soft Constraint on Public Budget in China:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test[J].Journal of Hunan Agricultural University,2017(1):122-127.
Authors:GONG Min  GAN Jiawu  ZHANG Fan
Abstract:Before a scientific and democratic budget management institution is built, the tax system and the tax-sharing system play a major role as a budget constraint. For the lack of endogenous constraint mechanism in China''s tax system and tax-sharing system, there exist room and motivation for the local government to break through the budget framework to participate in excessive financial competition, which makes the budget constraint softened. According to the estimation of soft budget constraint as well as the panel probit model, the fiscal reform in 1994 has hardened the revenue constraint at a national level but softened the constraint for eastern region; meanwhile, the reform didn''t significantly improve the expenditure constraint. Under the current tax system and tax-sharing system, the illicit tax preference, investment expansion impulsion as well as the dependence upon specific transfer payment are the important mechanisms for the soft constraint on the public budget.
Keywords:public budget constraint  tax system  tax sharing system  excessive fiscal competition
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