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气候变化对甘肃胡麻生产的影响
引用本文:姚玉璧,邓振镛,王润元,王毅荣,蒲金涌,张秀云.气候变化对甘肃胡麻生产的影响[J].中国油料作物学报,2006,28(1):49-54.
作者姓名:姚玉璧  邓振镛  王润元  王毅荣  蒲金涌  张秀云
作者单位:1. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃兰州730020; 2. 中国气象局气候研究开放实验室, 北京100081; 3. 甘肃省定西市气象局,甘肃定西743000; 4. 甘肃省天水农业气象试验站,甘肃天水741010)
基金项目:中国气象局气候变化专项基金;科技部社会公益研究项目;甘肃省科技攻关项目;中国科学院资助项目;甘肃省干旱气象科学研究项目
摘    要:利用1981—2000年甘肃全省71站点胡麻产量和生长期(4~10月)气象资料,用EOF、小波分析和积分 回归等统计分析方法分析胡麻产量的时空特征,以及不同气象因子对胡麻产量的影响。结果表明,胡麻产量分布 由北向南依次递减;在降水量变化一定的条件下,胡麻产量随温度的升高而降低;在温度变化一定的条件下,胡麻 产量随降水的增加而增加,适时早播可避免胡麻籽粒期高温对产量的影响。为适应气候变化,应积极试验扩大复 种面积,提高商品量。

关 键 词:甘肃  胡麻生产  气候变化  影响
文章编号:1007-9084(2006)01-0049-06
收稿时间:2005-04-27
修稿时间:2005-04-27

Effects of climate change on flax productivity in Gansu
YAO Yu-bi,DENG Zhen-yong,WANG Run-yuan,WANG Yi-rong,PU Jin-yong,ZHANG Xiu-yun.Effects of climate change on flax productivity in Gansu[J].Chinese Journal of Oil Crop Sciences,2006,28(1):49-54.
Authors:YAO Yu-bi  DENG Zhen-yong  WANG Run-yuan  WANG Yi-rong  PU Jin-yong  ZHANG Xiu-yun
Institution:1. Key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province, Lanzhou Instrtitute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China ; 2. Laboratory of Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Belting 100081, China; 3. Meteorological Bureau of Dingxi ,Dingxi 743000, China ; 4. Agriculture observation station of Tianshui , Tianshui 741010, China
Abstract:The yield variability caused by growth time and location as well as the effects of climate factors on the yield of linseed were analysed base on the data collected from 71 location of Gansu province during 1981-2000 using EOF, wavelet and regression methods. The results showed that the yield of linseed decreased gradually from north to south. Under certain amount of rainfall, the yield of linseed decreased along the increase of temperature, whereas under certain temperature, the yield of linseed increased along the increase of rainfall. Early sowing could avoid the influence of high temperature on yield at seed developing stage. In order to adapt to the climate change, the planting area should be expanded for the increase of total production.
Keywords:Gansu  Flax production  Climate change  Effect
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