| 黑龙江省农业气象灾害的风险评估与预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 唐立兵,张平,王剑,顾金兰.黑龙江省农业气象灾害的风险评估与预测研究[J].黑龙江八一农垦大学学报,2011,23(2):77-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 唐立兵 张平 王剑 顾金兰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 黑龙江八一农垦大学经济管理学院,大庆,163319
2. 大庆师范学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 黑龙江省农业在全国范围内具有十分重要的地位,但黑龙江省又是一个受气象灾害的影响较大的省份,导致农业的生产存在一定的波动性,每年会因气象灾害造成一定的损失,更主要是会使国家粮食安全受到冲击,对保证农民收入稳定持续的增长存在一定的制约.对黑龙江省农业生产和农业气象灾害分布进行了介绍,从黑龙江省的基本情况出发,着重对黑龙江省...
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| 关 键 词： | 农业气象灾害 风险评估 预测 |
Risk Assessment And Prediction of Agro-meteorological Disasters in Heilongjiang Province |
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| Tang Libing,Zhang Ping,Wang Jian,Gu Jinlan.Risk Assessment And Prediction of Agro-meteorological Disasters in Heilongjiang Province[J].Journal of Heilongjiang August First Land Reclamation University,2011,23(2):77-81. |
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| Authors: | Tang Libing Zhang Ping Wang Jian Gu Jinlan |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Economics & Management,Heilongjiang Bayi University of Agricultural Reclamation,Daqing 163319; 2.Dept.of Business Management&Law,Daqing Normal Institute) |
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| Abstract: | Heilongjiang province has a very important position in the national agriculture production,but it is one of China’s provinces which are affected by agro-meteorological disasters,leading to the volatility in agricultural production,the loss of agro-meteorological disasters each year,especially food security under attack,which exists a certain block for sustainabe increasing of farmer income.Firstly,the agriculture condition and the distribution of agricultural disasters in Heilongjiang province are introduced.Secondly,basing on Heilongjiang’s current situation,this paper assesses its agricultural disaster risk.At last,by applying the grey predictive model,this paper predicts agro-meteorological disasters in Heilongjiang province in order to provide a reference for government decision-making. |
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| Keywords: | natural disasters assessment prediction |
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