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基于自动气象站的乡镇级灾害风险区划初探
引用本文:张学艺,韩颖娟,马力文,牛旭东,杨 婧,赵维忠,杨 云.基于自动气象站的乡镇级灾害风险区划初探[J].中国农学通报,2015,31(30):256-261.
作者姓名:张学艺  韩颖娟  马力文  牛旭东  杨 婧  赵维忠  杨 云
作者单位:宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,海原县气象局,宁夏气象服务中心,宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室
基金项目:中国气象局气候变化研究专项“气候变化对宁夏旱作农业的影响与适应对策”(CCSF201415);2014年中央财政“三农”服务专项(气减函[2014]42号);2014年宁夏科技惠民项目“极端灾害性天气预测预警服务系统建设与应用”(宁科社字[2014]1号)。
摘    要:以宁夏海原县干旱灾害风险区划为例,利用12个区域站和1个大监站气象观测资料,综合考虑孕灾环境、致灾因子、承灾体和抗灾能力,采用AHP层次分析法赋权重,并将信息栅格化后使用ArcGIS进行重采样、插值及栅格计算,实现250 m格网分辨率的海原县干旱灾害风险区划。结果表明:海城、关桥和甘城3镇为干旱灾害风险高风险区,而保灌率较高的七营、郑旗、李旺和降水量大的关庄为干旱灾害的低发区。此研究为海原县城的迁移提供了佐证,也为海原县未来农业产业结构调整和远景规划提供了技术支撑。

关 键 词:干旱灾害  风险区划  乡镇级  自动站
收稿时间:6/3/2015 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:2015/6/29 0:00:00

Primary Research on Township-level Disaster Risk Zoning Based on the Automatic Weather Station:
Zhang Xueyi,Han Yingjuan,Ma Liwen,Niu Xudong,Yang Jing,Zhao Weizhong and Yang Yun.Primary Research on Township-level Disaster Risk Zoning Based on the Automatic Weather Station:[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2015,31(30):256-261.
Authors:Zhang Xueyi  Han Yingjuan  Ma Liwen  Niu Xudong  Yang Jing  Zhao Weizhong and Yang Yun
Institution:Ningxia Key Lab for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction,Ningxia Key Lab for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction,Ningxia Key Lab for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction,Haiyuan Meteorological Bureau, Zhongwei Ningxia,Ningxia Meteorological Service Center,Ningxia Key Lab for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction,Ningxia Key Lab for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction
Abstract:To study the drought risk zoning of the Haiyuan County in Ningxia, the authors first used meteorological observation data from 12 regional stations and one large monitoring station, and took into consideration of the disaster inducing environment, hazard factor, bearing body and anti-disaster ability, and then adopted AHP analysis method to assign weight, and ArcGIS to resample, interpolate and grid compute the data after they were rasterized. Finally, the Haiyuan County drought disaster risk zoning based on the 250 m grid resolution was obtained. The results showed that three towns, including Haicheng, Guanqiao and Gancheng, were the highest incidence areas of drought disaster risk, while Qiying, Zhengqi and Liwang which had higher probability of irrigation and Guanzhuang which had more annual rainfall were the lowest incidence areas of the drought disaster. This study provided more evidence for the migration of Haiyuan County, and also provided the technical support for the future agricultural structure adjustment and long-term planning.
Keywords:drought disaster  risk zoning  township-level  automatic station
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