基于Copula 函数的边坡可靠度高效分析方法     

方旭  冯晓波 《中国农村水利水电》2021,(4):201-206,211

将Copula函数与高效蒙特卡洛方法结合,提出了含相关随机变量的边坡可靠度高效分析方法。以两个岩质边坡稳定性问题为例验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,该方法相比于直接蒙特卡洛方法在保证边坡失效概率的准确性的同时计算效率更高。Copula函数可以构造出具有不同相关结构的岩土体参数的联合概率分布,与高效蒙特卡洛方法(即蒙特卡洛重要抽样方法和子集模拟)结合能高效地处理含多种相关随机变量的边坡可靠度计算问题,相比于现行的Nataf变换方法结果更能体现岩土边坡真实稳定性。此外,该方法也能高效地计算含有复杂的隐式功能函数的边坡可靠度,研究成果拓展了高效蒙特卡洛方法在边坡可靠度分析中的应用。  相似文献   

王正非林火蔓延模型改进研究     

张晓婷  刘培顺  王学芳 《山东林业科技》2020,50(1):1-6,40

王正非林火蔓延模型是目前国内比较先进的森林火灾蔓延模型,但是由于林火行为的复杂性,此模型在准确率和普适性方面仍存在许多不足。本文结合已有的成果进一步改进王正非模型,增加了可燃物湿度对林火蔓延速度的影响,改进了林火初始速度的计算方式。针对各种坡度对林火蔓延行为的影响给出了一个计算公式。与改进前相比,改进后的模型使其对林火蔓延情况的预估更为精准。  相似文献   

护林防火技术在森林资源保护中的应用     

王晓静  冯海宝  郭建民  孙晓妮 《现代农业科技》2021,18(18)

合理运用护林防火技术可以提升森林资源保护工作的整体质量,推动林业不断发展。本文分析了森林火灾发生的原因,总结了护林防火技术,提出了相关应用对策,以期为减少森林火灾的发生和保护森林资源提供参考。  相似文献   

Soil protection for a sustainable future: options for a soil monitoring network for Ireland          下载免费PDF全文

L. O'Sullivan  F. Bampa  K. Knights  R. E. Creamer 《Soil Use and Management》2017,33(2):346-363

The increased recognition of the importance of soil is reflected in the UN Post‐2015 Development Agenda with sustainable development goals that directly and indirectly relate to soil quality and protection. Despite a lack of legally binding legislation for soil protection, the European Commission remains committed to the objective of soil protection. However, the achievement of a legally binding framework for soil protection relies on the implementation of a soil monitoring network (SMN) that can detect changes to soil quality over time. As beneficiaries do not pay for the provision of soil information, the options for soil monitoring are limited. The use of existing data sets should be considered first. Using Ireland as an example, this research explored the opportunities for a SMN for Ireland considering three existing national data sets. The options for a SMN are considered in terms of their spatial and stratified distribution, the parameters to be measured and an economic analysis of the options proposed. This research finds that for Ireland, either a 10 or a 16 km² grid interval stratified by land use and drainage class offers the best potential in relation to the spatial distribution of existing data sets to reflect local data at a national level. With existing data, the stratified SIS data using the 16 km² grid offers the best value for money, with baseline costs for analysis, excluding field costs, of between €706 481 and €2.8 million. Acknowledging the impossibility of measuring all parameters with ideal frequency, this study proposes a two‐tier system for optimized monitoring frequency. Parameters must anticipate future policy requirements. Finally, the implementation of a SMN must be accompanied by standardized methods, defined thresholds and action mandates to maintain soil quality within allowable limits.  相似文献   

社会林业与五指山的自然保护   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周燕华  包焱 《热带林业》2001,29(2):73-80

五指山自然保护区是世界上现存地势最高的原始热带雨林之一，是我省目前面积最大的自然保护区，也是海南三大河流的发源地。但由于保护区横跨琼中、通什、保亭三县、市，紧邻保护区还生存着众多贫困的黎、苗族村民。因此，保护区与周边社区的联系是十分紧密的，社区的发展也直接影响到五指山热带天然林的保护。海南省林业局中德海南热带林保护和恢复项目在社会林业与五指山森林的保护上做出了有益的尝试，就在全省来说，也是首次对社会林业与森林保护上进行的探索。五指山地区社会林业的研究，对保护海南热带雨林也有着积极的意义。特对社会林业与五指山的森林保护进行了阐述、分析和设想。  相似文献   

The　Brief　Introduction　to　the　Sino-US　Joint　Centers　for　Soil　and　Water　Conservation　and　Environmental　Protection     

LIJing LIRui ZHENGFen-li 《水土保持研究》2004,11(4):174-176

Erosion and transport of soil has worldwide implications for agriculture, landscape stability, climate, natural hazards, and clean, renewable resources of water and air. Assured access to clean water and a healthy and safe environment requires an ethic of conservation and protection. The minimum scale in which these principles apply successfully is basin wide. These are the fundamental concerns of the Sino-US Centers for Soil and Water Conservation and Environmental Protection.  相似文献   

Passive protection of mice with antiserum to neuraminidase fromPasteurella multocida serotype A:3     

F. I. Ifeanyi  W. E. Bailie 《Veterinary research communications》1992,16(2):97-105

Antiserum to a partially purified neuraminidase fromPasteurella multocida, type A:3, was adsorbed with protease-digestedP. multocida type 3 lipopolysaccharide (LPS) to remove LPS immunoreactivity. The LPS-adsorbed antineuraminidase caused a 77% reduction in the neuraminidase activity of homologousP. multocida in anin vitro enzyme neutralization test. All 14 mice passively immunized with the adsorbed antineuraminidase were protected against challenge infection with homologousP. multocida in a mouse protection test. Ten out of 14 mice in one group that received antisera containing antibodies to both neuraminidase and LPS were protected. In contrast, only 1 out of 14 mice that were immunized with pre-immune serum survived the challenge. These results suggest that antiserum toP. multocida neuraminidase was, at least partly, responsible for the protection observed in this study. Neuraminidase may be one of the immunogenic protective proteins present in aqueous extracts ofPasteurella multocida.  相似文献   

金属热防护系统多层隔热材料的传热分析及参数优化     

闫长海  曲寿江  孟松鹤  陈贵清  杜善义  刘国仟 《勤云标准版测试》2006,(4):257-263

采用能量平衡方程和离散坐标法近似地建立了金属热防护系统多层隔热材料的一维稳态传热的数学模型，并利用遗传算法和纤维隔热材料的有效导热系数试验数据求解传热反问题，从而得到了模型中的纤维隔热材料的辐射衰减系数、反照率和隔热屏表面辐射发射系数。最后，由实验测得了多层隔热材料的有效导热系数，验证了采用优化参数后，多层隔热材料的传热模型的正确性。  相似文献   

鸡致病性大肠杆菌I型菌毛交叉保护性研究及其结构基因 FimA 的序列分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

隋兆峰  刘文强  范伟兴  许传田  赵宏坤 《中国预防兽医学报》2003,25(6):440-444

从山东省各地分离到107株鸡致病性大肠杆菌，选择了其中2株高致病性大肠杆菌，血清型分别为O78和OM，经增菌培养后提取菌毛制备为单价菌毛油乳苗，分别接种于1日龄和14日龄雏鸡，于4周龄攻毒。结果二者之间有一定的交叉保护作用。根据Genbank收录的人源大肠杆菌I型菌毛FimA基因和P型菌毛papA基因序列，分别设计了2对引物。通过PCR对上述2株大肠杆菌进行扩增，结果只有FimA的一对引物扩增出相应的条带，经测序证明为FimA基因。papA基因的引物未扩出任何条带，证明这2株大肠杆菌表达I型菌毛。通过对2株大肠杆菌结构基因FimA进行分析，发现二者具有高度的同源性。本研究的目的是探讨菌毛亚单位之间的交叉保护性与其菌毛的结构基因之间是否存在相关性。  相似文献   

鸡空肠弯曲菌灭活苗的制备及其免疫保护试验研究     

李广兴  刘建平  周志勇 《动物医学进展》2003,24(3):65-66

用分离到的空肠弯曲菌制备鸡空肠弯曲菌甲醛灭活疫苗 ,并进行了该病的免疫保护实验。制备 2× 10 9个 / m L浓度的细菌悬液 ,4m L / L浓度的甲醛溶液作用 12 h灭活后制成空肠弯曲菌灭活苗 ,免疫 2周龄的 SPF雏鸡 ,14 d后 ,进行攻击实验 ,观察其临床症状 ;并分别于感染后 7d和 14 d捕杀 ,观察病理学变化及进行细菌分离实验以揭示其保护率。结果表明 ,鸡空肠弯曲菌灭活苗的保护率可达 10 0 % ,说明该苗经口免疫后安全可靠 ,无毒副作用  相似文献