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本研究对新疆昌吉地区荷斯坦牛2011~2014年185 340条日单产记录进行统计分析,分别采用5种模型(Wood、IQP、Wilmink、ML、AS模型)对第1、2、3、4胎及所有胎次泌乳曲线进行拟合。结果表明,Wood、IQP、Wilmink、ML、AS模型拟合精度范围分别在0.9562~0.9828、0.9467~0.9809、0.8671~0.9752、0.8752~0.9175、 0.8775~0.9127范围内;Milmink模型为第1胎次泌乳曲线最佳拟合模型,Wood模型为第2、3、4胎次泌乳曲线的最佳模型。 相似文献
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高产荷斯坦奶牛泌乳曲线的特征及相关分析 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
选取285胎次第三、四胎305d产奶量超过8000kg的安徽荷斯坦牛的泌乳资料，利用Wood模型（Yt=ate^b-ct）进行高产荷斯坦奶牛泌乳曲线特征及相关的分析。结果表明：按照达到泌乳高峰周时间的不同对选取奶牛进行分级，11组Wood模型拟合泌乳曲线的平均拟合精度（R^2）为0.939（幅度为0.899-0.962）。随着达到泌乳高峰周时间的推迟，规模因子a具有逐渐降低的趋势；而产奶量上升率b、产奶量下降因子c、泌乳持久力表现与a相反的变化趋势。在相关分析中，MY（实际产奶量）与EMY（估计产奶量）、PY（高峰月产奶量）为强正相关，r(相关系数）分别为0.999和0.776，与持久力为中等正相关（r=0.379），与a、b、c的r分别是0.905、－0.875、0.731，与PY的相关程度较弱（r=-0.140）。 相似文献
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K. Togashi C.Y. Lin Y. Atagi K. Hagiya J. Sato T. Nakanishi 《Livestock Science》2008,114(2-3):194-201
The first three lactation curves of the Japanese Holstein cows were analyzed using a random regression (RR) test-day model with a cubic Legendre polynomial fitted to each of the three parities. The first three eigenvectors of the additive genetic RR covariance matrix explained 77.8, 10.9, and 4.2% of the total variance of the three parities and are associated mainly with the level of milk yield, the linear increase, and the concave curve, respectively. On a lactational basis, as the parity increases, the contribution of the first eigenvector to a lactational variation decreases whereas the contribution of the second eigenvector increases sharply. This means that the impact of the first eigenvector on the level of milk production decreases across parity whereas the effect of the second eigenvector on the shape of the lactation curve increases across parity. The first lactation curve was the most persistent, followed by the second and the third lactation. Persistency and days to reach peak yield decrease as the parity increases (45, 40, and 36 days for the first three parities). Daily heritabilities within lactation were lower for the first parity than for the second or the third parity. The first three lactation curves possess distinctive genetic characteristics that merit consideration when combining the proofs of the first three lactations to select for lifetime production. Within- and between-parity genetic correlations between the constant and the linear RR coefficients were all positive, suggesting that raising the level of milk production in one parity would increase the linear slope in all parities, thus improving persistency. Within- and between-parity genetic correlations between the constant and the quadratic RR coefficients were all negative, implying that increasing the level of production in one parity would deepen and/or widen the concave curve in all parities, thus decreasing persistency. The linear and quadratic RR coefficients were negatively correlated within or between parities and thus have antagonistic effects on persistency. 相似文献
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为了解中国荷斯坦牛乳脂率变化规律,本文利用Wood模型对我国南方5个大中型奶牛场2008~2010年1~3胎中国荷斯坦牛33 194条测定日乳脂率进行曲线拟合。结果表明:中国荷斯坦牛乳脂率变化曲线为典型的倒抛物线形,第一胎拟合度最高(0.9820),第三胎最低(0.9789)。二胎牛乳脂率最先达到最低点(第16周),而三胎乳脂率最后达到(第19周)。就最低乳脂率而言,二胎牛最大(3.54%),而三胎牛最小(3.45%)。综合各方面情况得出,Wood模型适用于中国荷斯坦牛乳脂率变化的曲线拟合。 相似文献
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中国荷斯坦牛泌乳曲线拟合研究 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
为了解南方大型奶牛场中国荷斯坦牛泌乳曲线及其影响因素,利用5种泌乳曲线模型(Wood模型、Nelder 逆多项式模型、WIL模型、混合对数模型和Ali-Schaeffer模型)和4种时间间隔方式(天、周、旬和泌乳月),对海丰奶牛场2009-2010年度980头第1～5胎具有完整泌乳期的中国荷斯坦牛296 895次日产奶量记录进行泌乳曲线拟合,并进一步分析不同模型、时间间隔和胎次3个因素对泌乳曲线拟合度及其参数的影响.结果表明,5种模型泌乳曲线拟合度变化范围为0.839 7～0.954 1,不同模型和胎次极显著影响泌乳曲线拟合度(P＜0.01),时间间隔对泌乳曲线拟合度无显著影响(P＞0.05).Ali-Schaeffer模型拟合度最高,Nelder逆多项式模型拟合度最低;不论哪种泌乳曲线模型,第一胎拟合度均显著高于第三胎.不同模型、时间间隔和胎次均极显著影响参数a值(P＜0.01),模型极显著影响参数b值(P＜0.01),时间间隔显著影响参数b值(P＜0.05).模型和胎次均极显著影响高峰产奶量和产奶高峰日(P＜0.01).综合各方面情况,确定Ali-Schaeffer模型为适合于海丰奶牛场奶牛的最佳泌乳曲线模型. 相似文献
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Relationship between antibodies against Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis in milk and shape of lactation curves 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
To analyze how infection with Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (MAP) affects the shape of lactation curves, a three-level hierarchical test-day model was set up with fat-corrected test-day milk yield (FCTM) as response. Milk samples from 6955 cows in 108 Danish dairy herds were tested with ELISA to detect antibodies against MAP. Optical densities (ODs) recorded on a continuous scale were standardized according to parity and stage of lactation. In addition to standardized ODs (stOD), seven fixed covariates, quadratic terms and first-order interactions were included in the model. Cow and cow nested in herd were included as random effects. Cows of first, second and higher parities were analyzed separately. The lactation curves after peak yield were significantly less persistent in young infected cows, where an increase of one stOD unit was associated with a depression of the milk yield per day through day 305 of 3.7 kg FCTM in first parity and 2.7 kg FCTM in second parity. In second-parity cows, the lactation curve also was both depressed through the entire lactation and more steep after 60 days in milk (DIM). In third and older parities, a significant effect of the quadratic term of stOD indicated exponentially increased losses with increased ODs. 相似文献
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本研究通过对北京地区1998-2016年28个场区的奶牛生产性能测定（DHI）数据进行分析,旨在比较不同产犊季节对1~3胎奶牛泌乳曲线相关参数的影响。使用Wood模型对1~3胎不同产犊季节群体和个体泌乳曲线进行拟合,并获得相应胎次下不同产犊季节奶牛泌乳曲线参数a、b、c （分别代表泌乳潜力、产奶量上升至顶峰速率、产奶量达到顶峰后下降速率）、泌乳曲线二级参数Per、PY （分别代表泌乳持续力、泌乳峰值）及305 d产奶量（305MY）。群体和个体水平的曲线拟合采用SAS 9.2中NLIN模块进行,采用混合线性模型分析不同产犊季节对各胎次奶牛泌乳曲线参数的影响。结果显示：产犊季节对Wood泌乳曲线的泌乳潜力、达到峰值的上升速率、达到峰值后的下降速率、泌乳峰值及305MY均有显著影响（P<0.05）,对于泌乳持续力没有显著影响（P>0.05）。夏季产犊牛泌乳曲线整体低于其他产犊季节,且胎次越高趋势越明显,1胎牛受到的影响较小;从胎次上分析,头胎牛泌乳持续力极显著高于经产牛（P<0.01）;头胎牛夏季产犊305MY比其他产犊季节的低274.33~490.17 kg,经产牛夏季产犊305MY比其他产犊季节的低440.76~930.68 kg。以上结果提示,北京地区牛场应注重做好经产牛和头胎牛的防暑降温工作,注意调整配种时间,避免夏季产犊牛过多,造成损失。 相似文献
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《Livestock Production Science》2004,88(3):251-261
Genetic variation and covariation of liability to clinical mastitis in the course of first lactation in Norwegian Cattle (NRF) were investigated. The data consisted of 36,178 first-lactation cows with 354,506 clinical mastitis (absence=0 vs. presence=1) monthly records. A longitudinal binary data analysis was carried out using Bayesian threshold models and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) procedures. Liability was related to stage of lactation using random regression functions: the Ali–Schaeffer function (AS), the Wilmink function (W) and Legendre Polynomials of order 2, 3 or 4 (L2, L3, L4). Models were compared using a pseudo Bayes factor and an analysis of residuals. The MCMC scheme for the AS function did not converge after 20,000 iterations, and was therefore excluded from further analysis. The pseudo Bayes factor strongly favored the L4 model. Most posterior means of the residuals fell in the range from −0.2 to 0 when cows were healthy (a residual is negative when mastitis is absent and positive otherwise). The L4 model tended to have smaller residuals than the other three models when cows had mastitis. The posterior means of the herd variance and of the cow-specific variance were 0.0645 and 0.1084, respectively, for the fourth order Legendre polynomial. Heritability of liability to clinical mastitis was from 7% to 13% before calving, and ranged between 3% and 11% from calving to 260 days after calving. Most genetic correlations of liability to clinical mastitis between different days of first-lactation ranged from 0.4 to 0.7. 相似文献
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The effect of strain of Holstein-Friesian, feeding system and parity on lactation curves characteristics of spring-calving dairy cows 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The purpose of the present study was to investigate the influence of strain of Holstein-Friesian (HF) cow and feeding system (FS) on the lactation curve characteristics of spring-calving cows. The Wilmink model was used to analyse the lactation curves. The three strains of HF cows compared were high production North American (HP), high durability North American (HD) and high Breeding Worth New Zealand (NZ). The three FS compared were a high milk output from pasture feed system (MP), a high concentrate feed system (HC) and a high stocking rate feed system (HS). A repeated measures model with a factorial arrangement of treatments was used to determine the influence of strain of HF, FS, parity and their interactions on the shape of the lactation curve. The curve was described based on yield at calving, the degree of ascendancy between calving and peak yield, and the persistency after peak yield. Analysis of the residuals indicated a good fit of the Wilmink curve to the data set. Strain of HF, FS, parity and the interaction of strain of HF with FS had significant effects on lactation curve characteristics. In all three FS, the HP strain achieved the highest milk production post-claving and peak yield, with the lowest persistency of lactation. In the HC system, milk production post-claving and at peak yield were higher for all three strains. Offering higher levels of concentrate supplementation to the HP strain on a pasture-based system improved their persistency of lactation. The highest persistency of lactation was achieved with NZ strain. The highest milk production post-claving and at peak and lowest persistency was achieved with third parity cows. The existence of strain by feed system interactions for lactation curve parameters clearly exhibits that the optimum system of production varies with strain of HF. 相似文献
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影响内蒙古三河牛泌乳曲线参数的非遗传因素 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为了解三河牛泌乳曲线形状及其影响因素,试验对三河牛的486个泌乳期记录,应用Wood模型进行泌乳曲线拟合,结果显示,Wood模型能够较好拟合三河牛泌乳曲线,平均拟合优度R2为0.93±0.004。应用方差分析进一步研究场效应、产犊年度、产犊季节及胎次对Wood模型各参数的影响情况,结果表明,场效应对参数c、tmax、per、Y305影响差异极显著;不同产犊年度间,参数b表现为差异显著(P0.05),参数c、ymax、Y305表现为差异极显著(P0.01);各产犊季节间,参数a、b、c、Y305均表现为差异极显著(P0.01),参数per表现为差异显著(P0.05);胎次对参数a、ymax、Y305影响差异极显著(P0.01);其它参数与效应间均表现为差异不显著(P0.05)。 相似文献
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Khabat Kheirabadi Amir Rashidi Sadegh Alijani Ikhide Imumorin 《Animal Science Journal》2014,85(11):925-934
We compared the goodness of fit of three mathematical functions (including: Legendre polynomials, Lidauer‐Mäntysaari function and Wilmink function) for describing the lactation curve of primiparous Iranian Holstein cows by using multiple‐trait random regression models (MT‐RRM). Lactational submodels provided the largest daily additive genetic (AG) and permanent environmental (PE) variance estimates at the end and at the onset of lactation, respectively, as well as low genetic correlations between peripheral test‐day records. For all models, heritability estimates were highest at the end of lactation (245 to 305 days) and ranged from 0.05 to 0.26, 0.03 to 0.12 and 0.04 to 0.24 for milk, fat and protein yields, respectively. Generally, the genetic correlations between traits depend on how far apart they are or whether they are on the same day in any two traits. On average, genetic correlations between milk and fat were the lowest and those between fat and protein were intermediate, while those between milk and protein were the highest. Results from all criteria (Akaike's and Schwarz's Bayesian information criterion, and ?2*logarithm of the likelihood function) suggested that a model with 2 and 5 coefficients of Legendre polynomials for AG and PE effects, respectively, was the most adequate for fitting the data. 相似文献
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本研究通过对规模化牧场测定日数据进行分析,旨在估计不同地区305 d校正产奶量对应泌乳天数(DIM)的校正系数与胎次校正系数。利用Wood(不完全伽玛)模型对来自不同温度带9个参考群11 749头荷斯坦奶牛2010－2020年间的683 160条测定日产奶量拟合泌乳曲线,估计泌乳曲线参数,计算头胎牛和经产牛1~305 d泌乳天数对应的校正系数,分别分析参考群和验证群305 d校正产奶量和305 d实际累积奶量的差异;利用SAS 9.2中混合线性模型对1~6胎至少有前5个胎记录的牛估计305 d奶量的胎次效应值,并计算1~6胎各胎次的乘法校正系数;比较传统系数和新系数校正结果的差异。结果表明:①参考群头胎牛和经产牛中,泌乳曲线方程的拟合度R2范围分别为0.4593~0.4913和0.5796~0.6341,泌乳高峰日分别为79~85和53 d,泌乳高峰奶量分别为33.1~34.4和46.0~48.6 kg;②对于参考群,头胎牛和经产牛校正系数分别在泌乳≥90 d和泌乳≥30 d基本趋于一致,头胎牛和经产牛泌乳≥60 d的305 d校正产奶量均趋近于305 d实际累积奶量,奶量差值分别在100和200 kg以内;③对于验证群的305 d校正产奶量,头胎牛泌乳≥150 d和经产牛泌乳≥180 d的泌乳天数校正系数适用性更佳,305 d校正产奶量与305 d实际累积奶量比值高于79%;④1~6胎的胎次校正系数分别为1.2121、1.0380、1.0063、1.0000、1.0220和1.0290;⑤与传统系数相比,新泌乳天数校正系数校正效果更好,头胎牛和经产牛新系数校正的305 d奶量较305 d实际累积奶量相差分别在900和700 kg以内;利用新胎次校正系数,2~4胎产奶量可较为准确地校正到5胎成年当量。本研究结果表明,定期更新305 d校正产奶量的泌乳天数与胎次校正系数,便于准确地将不同泌乳天数、不同胎次状态下泌乳牛的产奶量调整到同一基准上,从而更好地比较奶牛个体泌乳性能的高低,为牧场管理提供参考依据。 相似文献
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Lactational and subsequent reproductive responses of lactating sows to dietary lysine (protein) concentration 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Gilts (n = 208) were used to evaluate the effect of lysine (protein) intake over three parities on lactation and subsequent reproductive performance. Sows were assigned randomly to one of five experimental diets at each farrowing. The five corn-soybean mealbased lactation diets contained increasing concentrations of total lysine (.60, .85, 1.10, 1.35, and 1.60%) and CP (14.67, 18.15, 21.60, 25.26, and 28.82%). Other amino acids were provided at a minimum of 105% of the NRC (1988) ratio to the lysine requirement. Sows had ad libitum access to their assigned diets from parturition until weaning (19.5+/-.2 d postpartum). All sows were fed a common gestation diet (14% CP and .68% lysine) from weaning to next farrowing. Litter size was standardized by d 3 postpartum to 10 pigs in parity 1 and 11 pigs in parity 2 and 3. Increasing dietary lysine (protein) linearly decreased (P<.05) voluntary feed intake of parity 1 (from 5.4 to 4.6 kg/d), 2 (from 6.5 to 5.8 kg/d), and 3 sows (from 6.8 to 6.2 kg/d). With the increase of dietary lysine (protein) concentration during lactation, litter weight gain responded quadratically (P<.05) in all three parities. Maximal litter ADG was 2.06, 2.36, and 2.49 kg/d in parities 1, 2, and 3, respectively, which occurred at about 44, 55, and 56 g/d of lysine intake for parity 1, 2, and 3 sows, respectively. Increasing dietary lysine (protein) had no effect (P>.1) on sow weight change, weaning-to-estrus interval, and farrowing rate in all three parities and no effect on backfat change in parity 2 and 3, but tended to increase backfat loss linearly (P<.1) in parity 1. A linear decrease of second litter size (total born, from 11.7 to 10.1, P<.1; born alive, from 11.0 to 8.9, P<.01) was observed when dietary lysine (protein) increased during the first lactation. Lysine (protein) intake during the second lactation had a quadratic effect on third litter size (P<.05; total born: 13.3, 11.2, 11.6, 11.9, and 13.6; born alive: 11.8, 10.1, 10.3, 11.2, and 12.4). However, fourth litter size was not influenced by lysine (protein) intake during the third lactation. These results suggest that the lysine (protein) requirement for subsequent reproduction is not higher than that for milk production. Parity influences the lysine (protein) requirement for lactating sows and the response of subsequent litter size to previous lactation lysine (protein) intake. 相似文献
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Anki Roxström Erling Strandberg Britt Berglund Ulf Emanuelson Jan Philipsson 《Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A - Animal Sciences》2013,63(1):7-14
The main objective of this study was to estimate genetic correlations between fertility and production traits in first, second and third lactations as well as between fertility traits measured in the same way at different ages. The fertility traits studied were: number of inseminations per service period, number of treatments for reproductive disturbances, interval between first and last inseminations, interval between calving and first insemination, and interval between calving and last insemination. Early milk production was measured as the average of the energy-corrected milk yield at the second and third monthly testdays in a lactation. The number of records was approximately 450 000, 350 000, 180 000 and 75 000 in the heifer period, first, second, and third lactations, respectively. A linear, trivariate model that included the effects of herd-year, year, month, age and sire of the cow was applied. To reduce the effect of ongoing selection, 305-days kg protein production in first lactation was included as a variate in all of the analyses. Correlations between the herd-year effects indicated that factors of herd-year level conducive to increased production had a tendency to increase the number of inseminations as well as the number of reproductive treatments, although there was an earlier start and termination of the insemination period. Genetic correlations between fertility traits and production were in the range of 0.2-0.4, all of them unfavourable and higher at later parities. The genetic correlations between fertility traits in the heifer period and the same traits in first lactation were 0.7. Genetic correlations between the first and second lactation varied between 0.7 and 0.9, and between the second and third lactation they were all 0.9 or higher. In conclusion, fertility and production traits need to be selected for simultaneously if fertility is going to be maintained along further genetic improvement on production, and such selection should include fertility results from lactating cows. 相似文献
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[目的]研究产犊季节、胎次及不同牛场对奶牛泌乳性能的影响情况,以期为提高奶牛的泌乳性能及牛奶质量提供可靠的理论依据。[方法]收集3个千头以上奶牛场共8 872次相关信息,用多因素方差分析法分析产犊季节、胎次和牛场对泌乳天数、305d校正奶量、305d脂肪产量、305d蛋白产量和全泌乳期产奶量5个泌乳性能的影响进行分析。[结果]不同产犊季节、胎次和牛场都极显著影响奶牛的5项泌乳性能(P<0.01)。夏季和秋季产犊奶牛的泌乳性能较为理想。夏季产犊奶牛的泌乳天数和全泌乳期产奶量最高,其他三个泌乳性能都位居第二;秋季产犊奶牛的305d校正奶量、脂肪产量和蛋白产量都显著高于其他三个季节(P<0.05),泌乳天数和全泌乳期产奶量也仅次于夏季。头胎牛的各项泌乳性能都显著高于其他胎次的奶牛(P<0.05),其次为2胎产犊奶牛。随着胎次的增加,泌乳性能的各项指标都有不同程度的降低。除了泌乳天数之外,A牛场的各项泌乳性能都最佳,且显著高于B、C两个奶牛场(P<0.05)。[结论]在饲养条件良好的情况下,本研究中三个牛场的奶牛适宜在夏、秋两个季节产犊,此时泌乳性能较好;此外,头胎产犊奶牛的泌乳性能在各胎次中最高。 相似文献
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规模化养殖罗曼粉商品蛋鸡产蛋率和累计产蛋数曲线拟合分析 《畜牧与饲料科学》2021,42(4):54-60
[目的]探索规模化养殖罗曼粉商品蛋鸡的产蛋特点和规律。[方法]选择9万羽罗曼粉蛋鸡,统计18~85周龄的产蛋率和累计产蛋数,采用分室模型、杨宁模型、伍德模型对产蛋率进行拟合分析,采用Bertalanffy、Gompertz、Logistic模型对累计产蛋数进行拟合分析,并与实际观测值进行比较。[结果]分室模型、杨宁模型和伍德模型的产蛋率曲线拟合度分别为0.935、0.997和0.450,杨宁模型的预测值与实测值最接近;Gompertz模型拟合累计产蛋数曲线效果最好,拟合度为0.996,预测拐点周龄为47.38周,拐点产蛋数为166.36枚,极限产蛋数为365.12枚,比实际低11.64枚。[结论]杨宁模型和Gompertz模型分别对规模化养殖罗曼粉商品蛋鸡产蛋率和累计产蛋数的拟合效果最佳,适用于评估和预测规模化养殖条件下罗曼粉商品蛋鸡的产蛋性能。 相似文献
20.
We propose a semi-parametric model for lactation curves that, along with stage of lactation, accounts for day of the year at milk recording and stage of gestation. Lactation is described as having 3 different phases defined by 2 change points of which the second is a function of gestation stage. Season of milk recording is modelled using cosine and sine functions. As an application, the model is used to estimate the association between intramammary infections (IMI) dynamics as measured by somatic cell count (SCC) over the dry period and the shape of the lactation curve. Milk recording data collected in 2128 herds from England and Wales between 2004 and 2007 were used in the analysis. From a random sample of 1000 of these herds, smoothed milk production was used to test the behaviour of the model and estimate model parameters. The first change point was set at 60 days in milk. The second change point was set at 100 days of gestation or 200 days in milk when the latter was not available. Using data from the 1128 remaining herds, multilevel models were then used to model individual test-day milk production within lactations within herds. Average milk production at 60 days in milk for cows of parities 1, 2, 3 and greater than 3 were 26.9 kg, 31.6 kg, 34.4 kg and 34.7 kg respectively and, after this stage, decreases in milk production per 100 days milk of lactation were 3.1 kg, 5.1 kg, 6.3 kg and 6.7 kg respectively. Compared to cows that had an SCC below 200,000 cells/mL on both the last milk recording in a lactation and the first milk recording in the following lactation, cows that had an SCC greater than 200,000 cells/mL on their first milk recording after calving had an estimated loss of milk production of between 216 and 518 kg depending on parity. These estimates demonstrate the impact of the dynamics of SCC during the dry period on milk production during the following lactation. 相似文献